The takeaway
Hayward Holdings Inc shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 5 years of data — strongest in November (+4.1%) and softest in March (−1.6%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 60% of years, averaging +1.5%, roughly 0.7 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Hayward Holdings Inc's most dependable month has been November, higher in 4 of 5 years; March has been its least reliable, up just 20% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in May (+2.3 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−2.6 pts).
“vs S&P” is Hayward Holdings Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Hayward Holdings Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 5 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 5(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 5-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. November stands out, higher in 4 of 5 Novembers, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+4.1%) and median (+4.3%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is also the calendar's calmest month, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 4.3% spread), and even its worst November in 5 years lost only 0.6% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: November has cleared the S&P 500 by +1.7 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages November only about 62% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: June, July, and August have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: March has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−1.6%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, September, and October. Its roughest month on record was a −24.8% October in 2023 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: November aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 5-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (March), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2021 its best month (November, +4.1%) has run well ahead of its worst (March, −1.6%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +4.1% and closing higher in 4 of 5 years since 2021.
It's the weakest, averaging −1.6% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade