The takeaway
Hbt Financial Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 7 years of data — strongest in November (+6.0%) and softest in September (−3.5%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 50% of years, averaging +1.9% — essentially in line with the S&P 500.
The full picture
Hbt Financial Inc's most dependable month has been November, higher in 6 of 7 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2019 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in October (+4.2 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−10.2 pts).
“vs S&P” is Hbt Financial Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Hbt Financial Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 80% of the time versus 86% across the last 7 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 7(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 7-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
This is a stock you can almost set a calendar by, and November is the anchor — it has closed higher in 6 of 7 Novembers, the steadiest beat on its year.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+6.0%) and median (+5.2%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — November has outpaced the S&P 500 by +3.7 points on average. Few peers keep such company in November — the typical stock clears it just 62% of the time.
November anchors a run, too: the October-through-December window has been the stock's reliable season. At the other end of the calendar, September has been the soft spot — the weakest of 2 months that average a loss (−3.5%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March and September. Its roughest month on record was a −34.6% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The pattern has softened of late, November's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
For a stock this dependable in November, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 7-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2019 its best month (November, +6.0%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, −3.5%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +6.0% and closing higher in 6 of 7 years since 2019.
It's the weakest, averaging −3.5% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade