The takeaway
iShares Currency Hedged MSCI Eurozone ETF shows a slight seasonal lean over 10 years of data — strongest in March (−0.4%) and softest in June (−0.9%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 60% of years, averaging +1.5%, roughly 0.6 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
iShares Currency Hedged MSCI Eurozone ETF's most dependable month has been March, higher in 8 of 10 years; June has been its least reliable, up just 40% of the time.
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Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+1.4 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−1.4 pts).
“vs S&P” is iShares Currency Hedged MSCI Eurozone ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating iShares Currency Hedged MSCI Eurozone ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, March has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 10 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) March return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
This is a fund you can almost set a calendar by, and March is the anchor — it has closed higher in 8 of 10 Marches, the steadiest beat on its year.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (−0.4%) and median (+1.0%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. Few peers keep such company in March — the typical stock clears it just 56% of the time.
March anchors a run, too: the February-through-May window has been the fund's reliable season. The weaker half of the year is plainer: June has been the soft spot — the weakest of 2 months that average a loss (−0.9%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in March, June, and July.
If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Marches run ahead of the earlier years.
For a fund this dependable in March, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on.
Short answers on the fund's best month (March), its worst (June), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Only mildly. The fund's months are fairly even — March is the firmest (−0.4%) and June the softest (−0.9%), a narrow spread that points to weak seasonality rather than a strong calendar effect.
March has been the strongest, averaging −0.4% and closing higher in 8 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −0.9% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
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