The takeaway
Hillman Solutions Corp shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 6 years of data — strongest in July (+9.7%) and softest in September (−4.0%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 80% of years, averaging +9.7%, about +7.6 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Hillman Solutions Corp's most dependable month has been July, higher in 4 of 5 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 20% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| Median return % | ||||||||||||
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| 2021 | ||||||||||||
| 2020 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in July (+7.6 pts); it has trailed the market most in April (−5.6 pts).
“vs S&P” is Hillman Solutions Corp’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Hillman Solutions Corp’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, July has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 6 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) July return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 6(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 6-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: July, up in 4 of 5 Julys while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+9.7%) and median (+8.8%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: July has cleared the S&P 500 by +7.6 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages July only about 61% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: January, February, and October have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: September has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−4.0%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in April, October, and September. Its roughest month on record was a −24.9% June in 2022 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: July aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 6-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (July), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2020 its best month (July, +9.7%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, −4.0%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
July has been the strongest, averaging +9.7% and closing higher in 4 of 5 years since 2020.
It's the weakest, averaging −4.0% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade