The takeaway
Horace Mann Educators Corporation shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in August (+3.3%) and softest in June (−1.2%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 60% of years, averaging +0.5%, roughly 1.6 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Horace Mann Educators Corporation's most dependable month has been August, higher in 8 of 10 years; June has been its least reliable, up just 20% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in August (+3.0 pts); it has trailed the market most in April (−2.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is Horace Mann Educators Corporation’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Horace Mann Educators Corporation’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, August has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) August return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: August, up in 8 of 10 Augusts while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+3.3%) and median (+4.0%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is among its calmest months, too, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 4.7% spread). Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: August has cleared the S&P 500 by +3.0 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages August only about 52% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: March, July, and October have also closed higher more often than not. At the other end of the calendar, June has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−1.2%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in April, March, and July. Its roughest month on record was a −13.2% September in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: August aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (August), its worst (June), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2016 its best month (August, +3.3%) has run well ahead of its worst (June, −1.2%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
August has been the strongest, averaging +3.3% and closing higher in 8 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −1.2% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade