The takeaway
Columbia India Consumer ETF shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in August (+1.4%) and softest in February (−3.4%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 70% of years, averaging +1.8% — essentially in line with the S&P 500.
The full picture
Columbia India Consumer ETF's most dependable month has been August, higher in 9 of 10 years; February has been its least reliable, up just 30% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | ||||||||||||
| 2020 | ||||||||||||
| 2019 | ||||||||||||
| 2018 | ||||||||||||
| 2017 | ||||||||||||
| 2016 |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in May (+1.8 pts); it has trailed the market most in February (−3.2 pts).
“vs S&P” is Columbia India Consumer ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Columbia India Consumer ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, August has closed higher 100% of the time versus 90% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) August return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. August stands out, higher in 9 of 10 Augusts, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+1.4%) and median (+0.6%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is also the calendar's calmest month, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 1.9% spread), and even its worst August in 10 years lost only 1.6% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Crucially, the gain is the fund's own rather than a rising tide's: August has cleared the S&P 500 by +1.1 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages August only about 52% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — March–August forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. The weaker half of the year is plainer: February has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−3.4%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in February, October, and November. Its roughest month on record was a −21.2% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
August has now closed higher 8 years running. Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: August aside, the fund's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the fund's best month (August), its worst (February), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2016 its best month (August, +1.4%) has run well ahead of its worst (February, −3.4%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
August has been the strongest, averaging +1.4% and closing higher in 9 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −3.4% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade