The takeaway
Invitation Homes Inc shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 9 years of data — strongest in March (+1.0%) and softest in September (−3.9%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 67% of years, averaging +2.1% — essentially in line with the S&P 500.
The full picture
Invitation Homes Inc's most dependable month has been March, higher in 8 of 9 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 11% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+2.5 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−4.0 pts).
“vs S&P” is Invitation Homes Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Invitation Homes Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, March has closed higher 100% of the time versus 89% across the last 9 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) March return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 9(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 9-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. March stands out, higher in 8 of 9 Marches, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+1.0%) and median (+3.9%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even March ranges by 10.7% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Set against the S&P 500, mind, March is close to a wash — the gain mirrors the market more than it beats it. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages March only about 56% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: July and August have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: September has been the soft spot — the weakest of 2 months that average a loss (−3.9%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in October, September, and December.
March has now closed higher 5 years running. If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Marches run ahead of the earlier years.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: March aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 9-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (March), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2017 its best month (March, +1.0%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, −3.9%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
March has been the strongest, averaging +1.0% and closing higher in 8 of 9 years since 2017.
It's the weakest, averaging −3.9% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade