The takeaway
Orix Corp Ads shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in January (+3.3%) and softest in February (−2.1%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 70% of years, averaging +2.4% — essentially in line with the S&P 500.
The full picture
Orix Corp Ads's most dependable month has been January, higher in 8 of 10 years; February has been its least reliable, up just 40% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+3.5 pts); it has trailed the market most in April (−3.4 pts).
“vs S&P” is Orix Corp Ads’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Orix Corp Ads’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, January has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) January return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. January stands out, higher in 8 of 10 Januaries, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+3.3%) and median (+3.0%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is among its calmest months, too, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 4.1% spread). Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: January has cleared the S&P 500 by +3.5 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages January only about 53% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — November–January forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. At the other end of the calendar, February has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−2.1%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in April, June, and February. Its roughest month on record was a −14.9% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
A long streak recently broke — January had risen 7 years straight before a −0.2% reading in 2025. Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: January aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (January), its worst (February), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2016 its best month (January, +3.3%) has run well ahead of its worst (February, −2.1%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
January has been the strongest, averaging +3.3% and closing higher in 8 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.1% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade