The takeaway
J.P. Morgan Exchange-Traded Fund Trust - JPMorgan Active Growth ETF shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 4 years of data — strongest in May (+6.1%) and softest in December (−1.2%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 67% of years, averaging +1.4%, roughly 0.7 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
J.P. Morgan Exchange-Traded Fund Trust - JPMorgan Active Growth ETF's most dependable month has been May, higher in 3 of 3 years; December has been its least reliable, up just 25% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+5.7 pts); it has trailed the market most in April (−3.0 pts).
“vs S&P” is J.P. Morgan Exchange-Traded Fund Trust - JPMorgan Active Growth ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating J.P. Morgan Exchange-Traded Fund Trust - JPMorgan Active Growth ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 3 years, May has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 4 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) May return and how often it rose — the last 3 years versus the last 4(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 4-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
This is a fund you can almost set a calendar by, and May is the anchor — it has closed higher in all 3 Mays, the steadiest beat on its year.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+6.1%) and median (+6.1%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. Few months are steadier: May's returns vary by just 0.3% year to year, and even its worst May in 4 years lost only 5.8% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Better still, that strength is the fund's own and not just a buoyant market — May has outpaced the S&P 500 by +5.4 points on average. Few peers keep such company in May — the typical stock clears it just 55% of the time.
May anchors a run, too: the March-through-July window has been the fund's reliable season. The weaker half of the year is plainer: December has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−1.2%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in April, December, and March.
For a fund this dependable in May, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 4-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (May), its worst (December), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2022 its best month (May, +6.1%) has run well ahead of its worst (December, −1.2%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
May has been the strongest, averaging +6.1% and closing higher in all 3 years on record since 2022.
It's the weakest, averaging −1.2% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade