The takeaway
Kinetik Holdings Inc shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 9 years of data — strongest in May (+4.0%) and softest in August (−3.4%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 56% of years, averaging +2.2% — essentially in line with the S&P 500.
The full picture
Kinetik Holdings Inc's most dependable month has been May, higher in 5 of 9 years; August has been its least reliable, up just 22% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2017 | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in November (+35.9 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−6.3 pts).
“vs S&P” is Kinetik Holdings Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Kinetik Holdings Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, May has closed higher 80% of the time versus 56% across the last 9 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) May return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 9(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 9-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
There's a real but measured seasonal tilt here, toward May — the firmest corner of the calendar, higher in 5 of 9 Mays.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+4.0%) and median (+6.2%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. Few months are steadier: May's returns vary by just 8.4% year to year. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — May has outpaced the S&P 500 by +3.3 points on average.
At the other end of the calendar, August has been the soft spot — the weakest of 7 months that average a loss (−3.4%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, February, and August. Its roughest month on record was a −47.9% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Mays run ahead of the earlier years.
Treat it as a tendency rather than a rule — seasonality describes the past, not a promise. With a short 9-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (May), its worst (August), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2017 its best month (May, +4.0%) has run well ahead of its worst (August, −3.4%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
May has been the strongest, averaging +4.0% and closing higher in 5 of 9 years since 2017.
It's the weakest, averaging −3.4% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade