The takeaway
Kearny Financial Corp shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in November (+5.6%) and softest in January (−4.9%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 60% of years, averaging +3.8%, about +1.6 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Kearny Financial Corp's most dependable month has been November, higher in 6 of 10 years; January has been its least reliable, up just 10% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | ||||||||||||
| 2020 | ||||||||||||
| 2019 | ||||||||||||
| 2018 | ||||||||||||
| 2017 | ||||||||||||
| 2016 |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in November (+3.3 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−5.6 pts).
“vs S&P” is Kearny Financial Corp’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Kearny Financial Corp’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 60% of the time versus 60% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
There's a real but measured seasonal tilt here, toward November — the firmest corner of the calendar, higher in 6 of 10 Novembers.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+5.6%) and median (+7.4%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — November has outpaced the S&P 500 by +3.3 points on average. Some of that is a strong month market-wide, mind — November rises for about 62% of stocks — so the tendency is real if not unique.
November anchors a run, too: the October-through-December window has been the stock's reliable season. At the other end of the calendar, January has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−4.9%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, January, and May. Its roughest month on record was a −23.4% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
Treat it as a tendency rather than a rule — seasonality describes the past, not a promise.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (January), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (November, +5.6%) has run well ahead of its worst (January, −4.9%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +5.6% and closing higher in 6 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −4.9% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade