The takeaway
Laureate Education Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 9 years of data — strongest in May (+9.0%) and softest in June (−3.6%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 78% of years, averaging +4.5%, about +2.4 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Laureate Education Inc's most dependable month has been May, higher in 8 of 9 years; June has been its least reliable, up just 22% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2017 | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in May (+8.3 pts); it has trailed the market most in June (−3.8 pts).
“vs S&P” is Laureate Education Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Laureate Education Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, May has closed higher 80% of the time versus 89% across the last 9 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) May return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 9(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 9-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — May. It has closed higher in 8 of 9 Mays, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+9.0%) and median (+7.3%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — May has outpaced the S&P 500 by +8.3 points on average. Few peers keep such company in May — the typical stock clears it just 55% of the time.
It doesn't stand entirely alone — January, March, and July have leaned firm as well, if less emphatically. The weaker half of the year is plainer: June has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−3.6%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in June, March, and April. Its roughest month on record was a −46.0% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
For a stock this dependable in May, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 9-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (May), its worst (June), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2017 its best month (May, +9.0%) has run well ahead of its worst (June, −3.6%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
May has been the strongest, averaging +9.0% and closing higher in 8 of 9 years since 2017.
It's the weakest, averaging −3.6% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade