The takeaway
Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.) shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 5 years of data — strongest in November (+6.1%) and softest in June (−5.7%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 75% of years, averaging −2.6%, roughly 4.7 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)'s most dependable month has been November, higher in 4 of 4 years; June has been its least reliable, up just 25% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in February (+6.2 pts); it has trailed the market most in May (−6.1 pts).
“vs S&P” is Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 4 years, November has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 5 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 4 years versus the last 5(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 5-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — November. It has closed higher in all 4 Novembers, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
Read it with one caveat: the average (+6.1%) runs well ahead of the median (+3.5%), so a handful of outsized years — not steady strength — do much of the lifting. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — November has outpaced the S&P 500 by +3.8 points on average. Few peers keep such company in November — the typical stock clears it just 62% of the time.
November anchors a run, too: the November-through-April window has been the stock's reliable season. At the other end of the calendar, June has been the soft spot — the weakest of 6 months that average a loss (−5.7%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in May, June, and July. Its roughest month on record was a −21.8% May in 2024 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
For a stock this dependable in November, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 5-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (June), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2021 its best month (November, +6.1%) has run well ahead of its worst (June, −5.7%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +6.1% and closing higher in all 4 years on record since 2021.
It's the weakest, averaging −5.7% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade