The takeaway
Live Nation Entertainment Inc shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in May (+6.6%) and softest in February (+2.7%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 70% of years, averaging +3.2%, about +1.0 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Live Nation Entertainment Inc's most dependable month has been May, higher in 8 of 10 years; February has been its least reliable, up just 40% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in May (+5.9 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−3.3 pts).
“vs S&P” is Live Nation Entertainment Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Live Nation Entertainment Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, May has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 10 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) May return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. May stands out, higher in 8 of 10 Mays, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+6.6%) and median (+7.0%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even May ranges by 8.2% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: May has cleared the S&P 500 by +5.9 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages May only about 55% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: July, August, and November have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: February is the year's low point, though even there the stock has stayed positive on average (+2.7%), a sign every month leans up, and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, April, and October. Its roughest month on record was a −21.6% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The pattern has softened of late, May's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: May aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (May), its worst (February), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2016 its best month (May, +6.6%) has run well ahead of its worst (February, +2.7%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
May has been the strongest, averaging +6.6% and closing higher in 8 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest month, but it has still averaged a small gain (+2.7%) — quiet rather than genuinely bad.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade