The takeaway
Mondelez International Inc shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in April (+3.2%) and softest in February (−1.5%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 70% of years, averaging +1.4%, roughly 0.8 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Mondelez International Inc's most dependable month has been April, higher in 9 of 10 years; February has been its least reliable, up just 30% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+2.1 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−2.6 pts).
“vs S&P” is Mondelez International Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Mondelez International Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, April has closed higher 100% of the time versus 90% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) April return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: April, up in 9 of 10 Aprils while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+3.2%) and median (+3.6%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is among its calmest months, too, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 3.1% spread), and even its worst April in 10 years lost only 3.0% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: April has cleared the S&P 500 by +1.6 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages April only about 55% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: July, September, and November have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: February has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−1.5%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in October, February, and September. Its roughest month on record was a −10.9% September in 2022 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
April has now closed higher 7 years running. Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: April aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (April), its worst (February), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2016 its best month (April, +3.2%) has run well ahead of its worst (February, −1.5%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
April has been the strongest, averaging +3.2% and closing higher in 9 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −1.5% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade