The takeaway
MGP Ingredients Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in April (+7.1%) and softest in October (−7.1%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 60% of years, averaging −0.6%, roughly 2.8 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
MGP Ingredients Inc's most dependable month has been April, higher in 7 of 10 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 30% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in November (+5.7 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−8.1 pts).
“vs S&P” is MGP Ingredients Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating MGP Ingredients Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, April has closed higher 60% of the time versus 70% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) April return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: April, up in 7 of 10 Aprils while the other eleven tend to blur together.
The headline flatters a touch — its +7.1% average sits well above the +2.7% a typical year delivers, the work of a few big Aprils. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even April ranges by 13.6% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: April has cleared the S&P 500 by +5.4 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages April only about 55% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: February, June, and July have also closed higher more often than not. On the other side of the ledger, October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−7.1%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in October, July, and January. Its roughest month on record was a −42.2% October in 2024 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: April aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (April), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (April, +7.1%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −7.1%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
April has been the strongest, averaging +7.1% and closing higher in 7 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −7.1% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade