The takeaway
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 3 years of data — strongest in September (+7.7%) and softest in October (−4.8%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 67% of years, averaging +5.5%, about +3.4 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp's most dependable month has been September, higher in 3 of 3 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in September (+7.8 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−5.8 pts).
“vs S&P” is Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 3 years, September has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 3 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) September return and how often it rose — the last 3 years versus the last 3(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 3-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — September. It has closed higher in all 3 Septembers, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+7.7%) and median (+6.2%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — September has outpaced the S&P 500 by +7.8 points on average. It is the more striking for the company it keeps — September is a losing month for most of the market, where barely 39% of names gain ground.
September anchors a run, too: the July-through-September window has been the stock's reliable season. At the other end of the calendar, October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−4.8%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in October, April, and March. Its roughest month on record was a −10.2% May in 2024 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
For a stock this dependable in September, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 3-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (September), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2023 its best month (September, +7.7%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −4.8%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
September has been the strongest, averaging +7.7% and closing higher in all 3 years on record since 2023.
It's the weakest, averaging −4.8% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade