The takeaway
Nathans Famous Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in June (+6.9%) and softest in July (−3.0%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 40% of years, averaging −3.0%, roughly 5.2 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Nathans Famous Inc's most dependable month has been June, higher in 8 of 10 years; July has been its least reliable, up just 40% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in June (+6.7 pts); it has trailed the market most in July (−5.2 pts).
“vs S&P” is Nathans Famous Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Nathans Famous Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, June has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) June return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: June, up in 8 of 10 Junes while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+6.9%) and median (+6.7%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is among its calmest months, too, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 5.8% spread), and even its worst June in 10 years lost only 0.5% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: June has cleared the S&P 500 by +6.7 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages June only about 52% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: August, October, and November have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: July has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−3.0%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in July, December, and March. Its roughest month on record was a −14.5% December in 2017 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: June aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (June), its worst (July), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (June, +6.9%) has run well ahead of its worst (July, −3.0%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
June has been the strongest, averaging +6.9% and closing higher in 8 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −3.0% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade