The takeaway
NOV Inc. shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in June (+0.8%) and softest in February (−2.8%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 50% of years, averaging +4.1%, about +1.9 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
NOV Inc.'s most dependable month has been June, higher in 7 of 10 years; February has been its least reliable, up just 30% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in July (+1.9 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−4.6 pts).
“vs S&P” is NOV Inc.’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating NOV Inc.’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, June has closed higher 60% of the time versus 70% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) June return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: June, up in 7 of 10 Junes while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+0.8%) and median (+4.2%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is among its calmest months, too, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 7.6% spread). Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: June has cleared the S&P 500 by +0.5 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages June only about 52% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: May and December have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: February has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−2.8%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, February, and May. Its roughest month on record was a −50.2% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: June aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (June), its worst (February), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2016 its best month (June, +0.8%) has run well ahead of its worst (February, −2.8%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
June has been the strongest, averaging +0.8% and closing higher in 7 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.8% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade