The takeaway
nVent Electric PLC shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 8 years of data — strongest in May (+6.2%) and softest in September (+0.4%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 50% of years, averaging +4.0%, about +1.9 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
nVent Electric PLC's most dependable month has been May, higher in 7 of 8 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 38% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2018 | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in February (+6.0 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−6.0 pts).
“vs S&P” is nVent Electric PLC’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating nVent Electric PLC’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, May has closed higher 100% of the time versus 88% across the last 8 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) May return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 8(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 8-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
This is a stock you can almost set a calendar by, and May is the anchor — it has closed higher in 7 of 8 Mays, the steadiest beat on its year.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+6.2%) and median (+5.8%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even May ranges by 10.7% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — May has outpaced the S&P 500 by +5.5 points on average. Few peers keep such company in May — the typical stock clears it just 55% of the time.
It doesn't stand entirely alone — August, October, and November have leaned firm as well, if less emphatically. The weaker half of the year is plainer: September is the year's quietest corner, essentially flat on average, and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, December, and April. Its roughest month on record was a −32.8% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
May has now closed higher 6 years running. If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Mays run ahead of the earlier years.
For a stock this dependable in May, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 8-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (May), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2018 its best month (May, +6.2%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, +0.4%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
May has been the strongest, averaging +6.2% and closing higher in 7 of 8 years since 2018.
It's the weakest month, but it has still averaged a small gain (+0.4%) — quiet rather than genuinely bad.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade