The takeaway
Blue Owl Capital Corporation shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 7 years of data — strongest in November (+5.7%) and softest in March (−3.7%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 57% of years, averaging +1.1%, roughly 1.0 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Blue Owl Capital Corporation's most dependable month has been November, higher in 6 of 7 years; March has been its least reliable, up just 33% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2019 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in November (+3.4 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−4.8 pts).
“vs S&P” is Blue Owl Capital Corporation’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Blue Owl Capital Corporation’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 80% of the time versus 86% across the last 7 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 7(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 7-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — November. It has closed higher in 6 of 7 Novembers, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+5.7%) and median (+5.4%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — November has outpaced the S&P 500 by +3.4 points on average. Few peers keep such company in November — the typical stock clears it just 62% of the time.
It doesn't stand entirely alone — January, February, and April have leaned firm as well, if less emphatically. The weaker half of the year is plainer: March has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−3.7%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, September, and December. Its roughest month on record was a −21.7% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The pattern has softened of late, November's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
For a stock this dependable in November, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 7-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (March), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2019 its best month (November, +5.7%) has run well ahead of its worst (March, −3.7%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +5.7% and closing higher in 6 of 7 years since 2019.
It's the weakest, averaging −3.7% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade