The takeaway
Invesco Agriculture Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 4 years of data — strongest in March (+4.3%) and softest in October (−0.2%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 100% of years, averaging +1.3%, roughly 0.8 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Invesco Agriculture Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF's most dependable month has been March, higher in 3 of 3 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 25% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+3.4 pts); it has trailed the market most in June (−2.2 pts).
“vs S&P” is Invesco Agriculture Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Invesco Agriculture Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 3 years, March has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 4 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) March return and how often it rose — the last 3 years versus the last 4(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 4-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. March stands out, higher in all 3 Marches, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
The headline flatters a touch — its +4.3% average sits well above the +1.3% a typical year delivers, the work of a few big Marches. Crucially, the gain is the fund's own rather than a rising tide's: March has cleared the S&P 500 by +3.3 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages March only about 56% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — December–March forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. On the other side of the ledger, October is the year's quietest corner, essentially flat on average, and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in June, April, and October.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: March aside, the fund's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 4-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (March), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2022 its best month (March, +4.3%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −0.2%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
March has been the strongest, averaging +4.3% and closing higher in all 3 years on record since 2022.
It's the weakest, averaging −0.2% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade