The takeaway
QVCC shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 7 years of data — strongest in May (+6.1%) and softest in March (−13.6%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 50% of years, averaging +1.5%, roughly 0.7 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
QVCC's most dependable month has been May, higher in 5 of 6 years; March has been its least reliable, up just 17% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
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| 2019 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in May (+5.3 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−14.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is QVCC’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating QVCC’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, May has closed higher 80% of the time versus 83% across the last 7 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) May return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 7(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 7-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: May, up in 5 of 6 Mays while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+6.1%) and median (+6.8%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is among its calmest months, too, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 7.3% spread). Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: May has cleared the S&P 500 by +5.3 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages May only about 55% of the time.
Only August comes anywhere near it for reliability. On the other side of the ledger, March has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−13.6%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, December, and September. Its roughest month on record was a −38.5% March in 2023 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
A long streak recently broke — May had risen 5 years straight before a −7.4% reading in 2025. Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: May aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 7-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (May), its worst (March), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2019 its best month (May, +6.1%) has run well ahead of its worst (March, −13.6%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
May has been the strongest, averaging +6.1% and closing higher in 5 of 6 years since 2019.
It's the weakest, averaging −13.6% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade