The takeaway
Resideo Technologies Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 8 years of data — strongest in July (+8.9%) and softest in March (−11.6%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 71% of years, averaging +8.9%, about +6.8 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Resideo Technologies Inc's most dependable month has been July, higher in 5 of 7 years; March has been its least reliable, up just 14% of the time.
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| 2018 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in June (+9.8 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−12.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is Resideo Technologies Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Resideo Technologies Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, July has closed higher 80% of the time versus 71% across the last 8 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) July return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 8(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 8-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — July. It has closed higher in 5 of 7 Julys, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+8.9%) and median (+16.4%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. Few months are steadier: July's returns vary by just 11.6% year to year. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — July has outpaced the S&P 500 by +6.8 points on average. Some of that is a strong month market-wide, mind — July rises for about 61% of stocks — so the tendency is real if not unique.
Only December comes anywhere near it for reliability. The weaker half of the year is plainer: March has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−11.6%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, October, and September. Its roughest month on record was a −52.5% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
For a stock this dependable in July, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 8-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (July), its worst (March), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2018 its best month (July, +8.9%) has run well ahead of its worst (March, −11.6%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
July has been the strongest, averaging +8.9% and closing higher in 5 of 7 years since 2018.
It's the weakest, averaging −11.6% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade