The takeaway
Construction Partners Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 8 years of data — strongest in August (+12.6%) and softest in February (−1.1%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 50% of years, averaging +3.1%, about +0.9 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Construction Partners Inc's most dependable month has been August, higher in 7 of 8 years; February has been its least reliable, up just 29% of the time.
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| 2018 | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in August (+12.3 pts); it has trailed the market most in December (−5.5 pts).
“vs S&P” is Construction Partners Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Construction Partners Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, August has closed higher 100% of the time versus 88% across the last 8 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) August return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 8(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 8-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
This is a stock you can almost set a calendar by, and August is the anchor — it has closed higher in 7 of 8 Augusts, the steadiest beat on its year.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+12.6%) and median (+10.8%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even August ranges by 8.9% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — August has outpaced the S&P 500 by +12.3 points on average. Few peers keep such company in August — the typical stock clears it just 52% of the time.
August anchors a run, too: the August-through-November window has been the stock's reliable season. The weaker half of the year is plainer: February has been the soft spot — the weakest of 2 months that average a loss (−1.1%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in December and February. Its roughest month on record was a −23.5% October in 2018 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
August has now closed higher 7 years running. If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Augusts run ahead of the earlier years.
For a stock this dependable in August, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 8-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (August), its worst (February), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2018 its best month (August, +12.6%) has run well ahead of its worst (February, −1.1%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
August has been the strongest, averaging +12.6% and closing higher in 7 of 8 years since 2018.
It's the weakest, averaging −1.1% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade