The takeaway
ScanSource Inc shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in July (+2.4%) and softest in January (−2.4%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 60% of years, averaging +2.4% — essentially in line with the S&P 500.
The full picture
ScanSource Inc's most dependable month has been July, higher in 6 of 10 years; January has been its least reliable, up just 20% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in May (+2.5 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−3.1 pts).
“vs S&P” is ScanSource Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating ScanSource Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, July has closed higher 60% of the time versus 60% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) July return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
There's a real but measured seasonal tilt here, toward July — the firmest corner of the calendar, higher in 6 of 10 Julys.
A typical July brings +1.1%, a shade under the +2.4% average. Few months are steadier: July's returns vary by just 7.4% year to year, and even its worst July in 10 years lost only 8.4% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Set against the S&P 500, mind, July is close to a wash — the gain mirrors the market more than it beats it. Some of that is a strong month market-wide, mind — July rises for about 61% of stocks — so the tendency is real if not unique.
Only August comes anywhere near it for reliability. The weaker half of the year is plainer: January has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−2.4%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, January, and June. Its roughest month on record was a −26.8% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
Treat it as a tendency rather than a rule — seasonality describes the past, not a promise.
Short answers on the stock's best month (July), its worst (January), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2016 its best month (July, +2.4%) has run well ahead of its worst (January, −2.4%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
July has been the strongest, averaging +2.4% and closing higher in 6 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.4% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade