The takeaway
Sezzle Inc. shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 3 years of data — strongest in May (+83.3%) and softest in July (−4.6%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 0% of years, averaging −4.6%, roughly 6.8 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Sezzle Inc.'s most dependable month has been May, higher in 2 of 2 years; July has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in May (+82.6 pts); it has trailed the market most in September (−21.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is Sezzle Inc.’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Sezzle Inc.’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Not enough recent May history to say whether the pattern still holds.
Figures are the typical (median) May return and how often it rose — the last 2 years versus the last 3(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 3-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
This is a stock you can almost set a calendar by, and May is the anchor — it has closed higher in all 2 Mays, the steadiest beat on its year.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+83.3%) and median (+83.3%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. Few months are steadier: May's returns vary by just 21.8% year to year, and even its worst May in 3 years lost only 61.5% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — May has outpaced the S&P 500 by +82.6 points on average. Few peers keep such company in May — the typical stock clears it just 55% of the time.
It doesn't stand entirely alone — February, June, and November have leaned firm as well, if less emphatically. At the other end of the calendar, July has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−4.6%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in September, July, and October. Its roughest month on record was a −83.8% September in 2023 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
For a stock this dependable in May, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 3-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (May), its worst (July), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2023 its best month (May, +83.3%) has run well ahead of its worst (July, −4.6%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
May has been the strongest, averaging +83.3% and closing higher in all 2 years on record since 2023.
It's the weakest, averaging −4.6% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade