The takeaway
Stevanato Group SpA shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 5 years of data — strongest in March (+11.1%) and softest in October (−2.9%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 60% of years, averaging +4.2%, about +2.1 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Stevanato Group SpA's most dependable month has been March, higher in 3 of 4 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 20% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in March (+10.1 pts); it has trailed the market most in April (−8.2 pts).
“vs S&P” is Stevanato Group SpA’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Stevanato Group SpA’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 4 years, March has closed higher 75% of the time versus 75% across the last 5 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) March return and how often it rose — the last 4 years versus the last 5(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 5-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: March, up in 3 of 4 Marches while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+11.1%) and median (+14.4%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: March has cleared the S&P 500 by +10.1 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages March only about 56% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: January, July, and September have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−2.9%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in April, May, and November. Its roughest month on record was a −28.0% May in 2024 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: March aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 5-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (March), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2021 its best month (March, +11.1%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −2.9%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
March has been the strongest, averaging +11.1% and closing higher in 3 of 4 years since 2021.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.9% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade