The takeaway
Savers Value Village, Inc. shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 3 years of data — strongest in December (+8.7%) and softest in October (−14.9%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 33% of years, averaging −4.2%, roughly 6.4 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Savers Value Village, Inc.'s most dependable month has been December, higher in 3 of 3 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in April (+9.4 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−15.9 pts).
“vs S&P” is Savers Value Village, Inc.’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Savers Value Village, Inc.’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 3 years, December has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 3 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) December return and how often it rose — the last 3 years versus the last 3(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 3-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: December, up in all 3 Decembers while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+8.7%) and median (+7.4%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is among its calmest months, too, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 5.5% spread). Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: December has cleared the S&P 500 by +7.7 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages December only about 58% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — November–January forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. At the other end of the calendar, October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 9 months that average a loss (−14.9%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in October, February, and May. Its roughest month on record was a −31.9% February in 2025 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: December aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 3-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (December), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2023 its best month (December, +8.7%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −14.9%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
December has been the strongest, averaging +8.7% and closing higher in all 3 years on record since 2023.
It's the weakest, averaging −14.9% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade