The takeaway
SPDR® DoubleLine Total Return Tactical ETF shows a slight seasonal lean over 10 years of data — strongest in November (+0.8%) and softest in October (−0.8%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 60% of years, averaging +0.7%, roughly 1.4 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
SPDR® DoubleLine Total Return Tactical ETF's most dependable month has been November, higher in 7 of 10 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 10% of the time.
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Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+0.8 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−1.8 pts).
“vs S&P” is SPDR® DoubleLine Total Return Tactical ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating SPDR® DoubleLine Total Return Tactical ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 100% of the time versus 70% across the last 10 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. November stands out, higher in 7 of 10 Novembers, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+0.8%) and median (+0.7%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. Some of that is a strong month market-wide, mind — November rises for about 62% of stocks — so the tendency is real if not unique.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — November–January forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. On the other side of the ledger, October has been the soft spot — the only month to average an outright loss (−0.8%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in October, April, and November.
November has now closed higher 6 years running. If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Novembers run ahead of the earlier years.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: November aside, the fund's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the fund's best month (November), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Only mildly. The fund's months are fairly even — November is the firmest (+0.8%) and October the softest (−0.8%), a narrow spread that points to weak seasonality rather than a strong calendar effect.
November has been the strongest, averaging +0.8% and closing higher in 7 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −0.8% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade