The takeaway
Trinity Capital Inc shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 5 years of data — strongest in December (+5.0%) and softest in April (−2.6%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 80% of years, averaging +3.4%, about +1.2 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Trinity Capital Inc's most dependable month has been December, higher in 5 of 5 years; April has been its least reliable, up just 40% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+5.6 pts); it has trailed the market most in April (−4.3 pts).
“vs S&P” is Trinity Capital Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Trinity Capital Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, December has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 5 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) December return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 5(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 5-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. December stands out, higher in all 5 Decembers, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+5.0%) and median (+4.0%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is among its calmest months, too, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 2.4% spread), and even its worst December in 5 years lost only 1.6% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: December has cleared the S&P 500 by +4.0 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages December only about 58% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — November–February forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. The weaker half of the year is plainer: April has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−2.6%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in April, September, and November. Its roughest month on record was a −13.5% April in 2022 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
December has now closed higher 5 years running.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: December aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 5-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (December), its worst (April), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2021 its best month (December, +5.0%) has run well ahead of its worst (April, −2.6%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
December has been the strongest, averaging +5.0% and closing higher in all 5 years on record since 2021.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.6% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade