The takeaway
GraniteShares 1.5x Short TSLA Daily ETF shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 3 years of data — strongest in February (+22.3%) and softest in September (−31.2%).
Right now
In July, the fund has fallen 0% of years, averaging −20.1%, roughly 22.3 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
GraniteShares 1.5x Short TSLA Daily ETF's most dependable month has been February, higher in 1 of 2 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in February (+22.6 pts); it has trailed the market most in April (−31.5 pts).
“vs S&P” is GraniteShares 1.5x Short TSLA Daily ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating GraniteShares 1.5x Short TSLA Daily ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Not enough recent February history to say whether the pattern still holds.
Figures are the typical (median) February return and how often it rose — the last 2 years versus the last 3(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 3-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
There's little seasonal signal to find. No month pulls clear: February is nominally the steadiest, yet at 1 of 2 Februaries it's barely better than a coin toss.
Its roughest month on record was a −56.2% November in 2024 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The honest read is that the calendar is close to noise here — better treated as background than a reason to act. With a short 3-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (February), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2023 its best month (February, +22.3%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, −31.2%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
February has been the strongest, averaging +22.3% and closing higher in 1 of 2 years since 2023.
It's the weakest, averaging −31.2% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade