The takeaway
Tradeweb Markets Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 7 years of data — strongest in November (+6.9%) and softest in September (−6.6%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 86% of years, averaging +4.3%, about +2.2 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Tradeweb Markets Inc's most dependable month has been November, higher in 7 of 7 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 14% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2019 | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in May (+5.2 pts); it has trailed the market most in September (−6.5 pts).
“vs S&P” is Tradeweb Markets Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Tradeweb Markets Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 7 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 7(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 7-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. November stands out, higher in all 7 Novembers, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+6.9%) and median (+7.2%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is also the calendar's calmest month, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 2.0% spread), and even its worst November in 7 years lost only 3.4% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: November has cleared the S&P 500 by +4.6 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages November only about 62% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: February, March, and May have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: September has been the soft spot — the weakest of 2 months that average a loss (−6.6%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in September and June. Its roughest month on record was a −19.8% April in 2022 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
November has now closed higher 7 years running. Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: November aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 7-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2019 its best month (November, +6.9%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, −6.6%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +6.9% and closing higher in all 7 years on record since 2019.
It's the weakest, averaging −6.6% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade