The takeaway
Travelzoo shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in March (−2.4%) and softest in June (−6.1%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 30% of years, averaging −2.6%, roughly 4.7 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Travelzoo's most dependable month has been March, higher in 7 of 10 years; June has been its least reliable, up just 10% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in April (+11.6 pts); it has trailed the market most in June (−6.4 pts).
“vs S&P” is Travelzoo’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Travelzoo’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, March has closed higher 60% of the time versus 70% across the last 10 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) March return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — March. It has closed higher in 7 of 10 Marches, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (−2.4%) and median (+1.9%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even March ranges by 22.6% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Few peers keep such company in March — the typical stock clears it just 56% of the time.
March anchors a run, too: the March-through-May window has been the stock's reliable season. On the other side of the ledger, June has been the soft spot — the weakest of 6 months that average a loss (−6.1%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in June, September, and July.
If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Marches run ahead of the earlier years.
For a stock this dependable in March, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (March), its worst (June), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2016 its best month (March, −2.4%) has run well ahead of its worst (June, −6.1%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
March has been the strongest, averaging −2.4% and closing higher in 7 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −6.1% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade