The takeaway
Uber Technologies Inc shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 7 years of data — strongest in August (+3.2%) and softest in October (−2.5%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 29% of years, averaging −1.3%, roughly 3.4 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Uber Technologies Inc's most dependable month has been August, higher in 5 of 7 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 14% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2019 | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+7.1 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−4.5 pts).
“vs S&P” is Uber Technologies Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Uber Technologies Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, August has closed higher 80% of the time versus 71% across the last 7 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) August return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 7(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 7-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — August. It has closed higher in 5 of 7 Augusts, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+3.2%) and median (+7.8%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even August ranges by 13.5% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — August has outpaced the S&P 500 by +2.9 points on average. Few peers keep such company in August — the typical stock clears it just 52% of the time.
Only January comes anywhere near it for reliability. On the other side of the ledger, October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−2.5%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, October, and July. Its roughest month on record was a −23.7% May in 2022 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
For a stock this dependable in August, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 7-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (August), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2019 its best month (August, +3.2%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −2.5%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
August has been the strongest, averaging +3.2% and closing higher in 5 of 7 years since 2019.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.5% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade