The takeaway
Utz Brands Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 8 years of data — strongest in December (+4.4%) and softest in September (−5.8%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 57% of years, averaging +1.2%, roughly 0.9 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Utz Brands Inc's most dependable month has been December, higher in 6 of 8 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 29% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2018 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in December (+3.4 pts); it has trailed the market most in September (−5.6 pts).
“vs S&P” is Utz Brands Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Utz Brands Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, December has closed higher 60% of the time versus 75% across the last 8 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) December return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 8(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 8-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. December stands out, higher in 6 of 8 Decembers, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+4.4%) and median (+3.2%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even December ranges by 11.8% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: December has cleared the S&P 500 by +3.4 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages December only about 58% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: January and March have also closed higher more often than not. On the other side of the ledger, September has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−5.8%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in September, October, and May. Its roughest month on record was a −23.1% May in 2021 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The pattern has softened of late, December's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: December aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 8-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (December), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2018 its best month (December, +4.4%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, −5.8%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
December has been the strongest, averaging +4.4% and closing higher in 6 of 8 years since 2018.
It's the weakest, averaging −5.8% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade