The takeaway
Energy Fuels Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in August (+8.6%) and softest in January (−3.8%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 60% of years, averaging +6.5%, about +4.3 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Energy Fuels Inc's most dependable month has been August, higher in 9 of 10 years; January has been its least reliable, up just 40% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in August (+8.3 pts); it has trailed the market most in January (−3.6 pts).
“vs S&P” is Energy Fuels Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Energy Fuels Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, August has closed higher 80% of the time versus 90% across the last 10 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) August return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
This is a stock you can almost set a calendar by, and August is the anchor — it has closed higher in 9 of 10 Augusts, the steadiest beat on its year.
Read it with one caveat: the average (+8.6%) runs well ahead of the median (+4.5%), so a handful of outsized years — not steady strength — do much of the lifting. Few months are steadier: August's returns vary by just 10.7% year to year, and even its worst August in 10 years lost only 6.3% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — August has outpaced the S&P 500 by +8.3 points on average. Few peers keep such company in August — the typical stock clears it just 52% of the time.
August anchors a run, too: the July-through-October window has been the stock's reliable season. The weaker half of the year is plainer: January has been the soft spot — the weakest of 2 months that average a loss (−3.8%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in January, February, and March. Its roughest month on record was a −41.1% July in 2019 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
At its steadiest, August strung together 8 straight positive years. If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Augusts run ahead of the earlier years.
For a stock this dependable in August, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (August), its worst (January), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (August, +8.6%) has run well ahead of its worst (January, −3.8%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
August has been the strongest, averaging +8.6% and closing higher in 9 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −3.8% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade