The takeaway
Valaris Ltd shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 5 years of data — strongest in July (+10.1%) and softest in April (−12.1%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 80% of years, averaging +10.1%, about +7.9 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Valaris Ltd's most dependable month has been July, higher in 4 of 5 years; April has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in March (+12.1 pts); it has trailed the market most in April (−13.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is Valaris Ltd’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Valaris Ltd’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, July has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 5 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) July return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 5(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 5-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: July, up in 4 of 5 Julys while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+10.1%) and median (+10.8%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even July ranges by 10.3% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: July has cleared the S&P 500 by +7.9 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages July only about 61% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — May–August forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. The weaker half of the year is plainer: April has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−12.1%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in April, February, and November. Its roughest month on record was a −31.7% June in 2022 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: July aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 5-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (July), its worst (April), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2021 its best month (July, +10.1%) has run well ahead of its worst (April, −12.1%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
July has been the strongest, averaging +10.1% and closing higher in 4 of 5 years since 2021.
It's the weakest, averaging −12.1% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade