The takeaway
Velo3D, Inc. shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 5 years of data — strongest in October (+17.2%) and softest in September (−19.5%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 40% of years, averaging +24.3%, about +22.2 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Velo3D, Inc.'s most dependable month has been October, higher in 3 of 5 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in July (+22.2 pts); it has trailed the market most in September (−19.3 pts).
“vs S&P” is Velo3D, Inc.’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Velo3D, Inc.’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, October has closed higher 60% of the time versus 60% across the last 5 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) October return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 5(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 5-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
There's a real but measured seasonal tilt here, toward October — the firmest corner of the calendar, higher in 3 of 5 Octobers.
A typical October brings +12.2%, a shade under the +17.2% average. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even October ranges by 28.9% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — October has outpaced the S&P 500 by +16.2 points on average.
It doesn't stand entirely alone — February and November have leaned firm as well, if less emphatically. On the other side of the ledger, September has been the soft spot — the weakest of 7 months that average a loss (−19.5%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in September, April, and August. Its roughest month on record was a −82.6% February in 2025 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Treat it as a tendency rather than a rule — seasonality describes the past, not a promise. With a short 5-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (October), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2021 its best month (October, +17.2%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, −19.5%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
October has been the strongest, averaging +17.2% and closing higher in 3 of 5 years since 2021.
It's the weakest, averaging −19.5% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade