The takeaway
VICI Properties Inc shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 9 years of data — strongest in January (+4.1%) and softest in February (−0.8%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 50% of years, averaging +2.6% — essentially in line with the S&P 500.
The full picture
VICI Properties Inc's most dependable month has been January, higher in 6 of 8 years; February has been its least reliable, up just 25% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2017 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+4.3 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−4.5 pts).
“vs S&P” is VICI Properties Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating VICI Properties Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, January has closed higher 60% of the time versus 75% across the last 9 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) January return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 9(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 9-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: January, up in 6 of 8 Januaries while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+4.1%) and median (+4.4%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: January has cleared the S&P 500 by +4.3 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages January only about 53% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: April, June, and August have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: February has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−0.8%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, October, and September. Its roughest month on record was a −31.3% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The pattern has softened of late, January's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: January aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 9-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (January), its worst (February), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2017 its best month (January, +4.1%) has run well ahead of its worst (February, −0.8%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
January has been the strongest, averaging +4.1% and closing higher in 6 of 8 years since 2017.
It's the weakest, averaging −0.8% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade