The takeaway
Varex Imaging Corp shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 9 years of data — strongest in September (+3.0%) and softest in August (−3.3%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 67% of years, averaging −0.8%, roughly 3.0 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Varex Imaging Corp's most dependable month has been September, higher in 6 of 9 years; August has been its least reliable, up just 33% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in November (+3.8 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−4.3 pts).
“vs S&P” is Varex Imaging Corp’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Varex Imaging Corp’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, September has closed higher 60% of the time versus 67% across the last 9 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) September return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 9(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 9-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
September looks the standout, up in 6 of 9 Septembers — yet the appeal is lumpy, leaning on the occasional blow-out year rather than dependable strength.
The headline flatters a touch — its +3.0% average sits well above the +0.6% a typical year delivers, the work of a few big Septembers. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even September ranges by 8.7% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: September has cleared the S&P 500 by +3.2 points above the index. It bucks the broad tape, besides: September lifts just 39% of stocks across the market.
A few other months pull their weight: July and December have also closed higher more often than not. At the other end of the calendar, August has been the soft spot — the weakest of 6 months that average a loss (−3.3%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, August, and July. Its roughest month on record was a −30.6% August in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
Hold it loosely, then: the September tendency is genuine but lumpy, more about the occasional outsized year than a gain to bank on. With a short 9-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (September), its worst (August), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2017 its best month (September, +3.0%) has run well ahead of its worst (August, −3.3%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
September has been the strongest, averaging +3.0% and closing higher in 6 of 9 years since 2017.
It's the weakest, averaging −3.3% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade