The takeaway
Direxion Daily Cnsmr Discret Bull 3XShrs shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 8 years of data — strongest in July (+11.8%) and softest in February (−7.9%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 100% of years, averaging +11.8%, about +9.7 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Direxion Daily Cnsmr Discret Bull 3XShrs's most dependable month has been July, higher in 7 of 7 years; February has been its least reliable, up just 29% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2018 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in July (+9.7 pts); it has trailed the market most in February (−7.6 pts).
“vs S&P” is Direxion Daily Cnsmr Discret Bull 3XShrs’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Direxion Daily Cnsmr Discret Bull 3XShrs’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, July has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 8 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) July return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 8(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 8-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — July. It has closed higher in all 7 Julys, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
Read it with one caveat: the average (+11.8%) runs well ahead of the median (+3.1%), so a handful of outsized years — not steady strength — do much of the lifting. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even July ranges by 17.7% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the fund's own and not just a buoyant market — July has outpaced the S&P 500 by +9.7 points on average. Few peers keep such company in July — the typical stock clears it just 61% of the time.
It doesn't stand entirely alone — June, November, and December have leaned firm as well, if less emphatically. At the other end of the calendar, February has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−7.9%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in February, March, and December. Its roughest month on record was a −55.5% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
July has now closed higher 7 years running. Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
For a fund this dependable in July, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 8-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (July), its worst (February), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2018 its best month (July, +11.8%) has run well ahead of its worst (February, −7.9%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
July has been the strongest, averaging +11.8% and closing higher in all 7 years on record since 2018.
It's the weakest, averaging −7.9% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade