The takeaway
SPDR® SSGA U.S. Sector Rotation ETF shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 7 years of data — strongest in November (+4.8%) and softest in February (−2.1%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 86% of years, averaging +2.5% — essentially in line with the S&P 500.
The full picture
SPDR® SSGA U.S. Sector Rotation ETF's most dependable month has been November, higher in 6 of 7 years; February has been its least reliable, up just 33% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | ||||||||||||
| 2020 | ||||||||||||
| 2019 | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in November (+2.4 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−2.8 pts).
“vs S&P” is SPDR® SSGA U.S. Sector Rotation ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating SPDR® SSGA U.S. Sector Rotation ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 80% of the time versus 86% across the last 7 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 7(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 7-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. November stands out, higher in 6 of 7 Novembers, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+4.8%) and median (+5.1%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is among its calmest months, too, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 3.3% spread). Crucially, the gain is the fund's own rather than a rising tide's: November has cleared the S&P 500 by +2.4 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages November only about 62% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — October–December forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. On the other side of the ledger, February has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−2.1%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in March, September, and February. Its roughest month on record was a −14.7% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: November aside, the fund's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 7-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (November), its worst (February), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2019 its best month (November, +4.8%) has run well ahead of its worst (February, −2.1%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +4.8% and closing higher in 6 of 7 years since 2019.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.1% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade