The takeaway
Ermenegildo Zegna NV shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 5 years of data — strongest in June (+2.0%) and softest in August (−1.9%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 60% of years, averaging +4.0%, about +1.8 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Ermenegildo Zegna NV's most dependable month has been June, higher in 4 of 5 years; August has been its least reliable, up just 20% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+5.1 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−7.4 pts).
“vs S&P” is Ermenegildo Zegna NV’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Ermenegildo Zegna NV’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, June has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 5 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) June return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 5(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 5-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: June, up in 4 of 5 Junes while the other eleven tend to blur together.
The headline flatters a touch — its +2.0% average sits well above the +0.5% a typical year delivers, the work of a few big Junes. It is among its calmest months, too, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 5.5% spread). Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: June has cleared the S&P 500 by +1.8 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages June only about 52% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: January, March, and July have also closed higher more often than not. At the other end of the calendar, August has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−1.9%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in October, April, and August. Its roughest month on record was a −21.0% October in 2023 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: June aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 5-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (June), its worst (August), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2021 its best month (June, +2.0%) has run well ahead of its worst (August, −1.9%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
June has been the strongest, averaging +2.0% and closing higher in 4 of 5 years since 2021.
It's the weakest, averaging −1.9% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade