The takeaway
Defiance Daily Target 2x Long AVAV ETF shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 1 years of data — strongest in October (−5.3%) and softest in November (−44.4%).
Right now
Not enough July history yet to summarize.
The full picture
Defiance Daily Target 2x Long AVAV ETF's most dependable month has been October, higher in 0 of 1 years; November has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| Median return % | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in October (−6.3 pts); it has trailed the market most in November (−46.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is Defiance Daily Target 2x Long AVAV ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Defiance Daily Target 2x Long AVAV ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Not enough recent October history to say whether the pattern still holds.
Figures are the typical (median) October return and how often it rose — the last 1 years versus the last 1(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 1-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
There's little seasonal signal to find. No month pulls clear: October is nominally the steadiest, yet at 0 of 1 Octobers it's barely better than a coin toss.
Its roughest month on record was a −44.4% November in 2025 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The honest read is that the calendar is close to noise here — better treated as background than a reason to act. With a short 1-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (October), its worst (November), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2025 its best month (October, −5.3%) has run well ahead of its worst (November, −44.4%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
October has been the strongest, averaging −5.3% and closing higher in 0 of 1 years since 2025.
It's the weakest, averaging −44.4% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade