The takeaway
BGC Group Inc. shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in November (+6.7%) and softest in October (+2.4%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 50% of years, averaging −0.2%, roughly 2.4 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
BGC Group Inc. 's most dependable month has been November, higher in 6 of 10 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 40% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | ||||||||||||
| 2020 | ||||||||||||
| 2019 | ||||||||||||
| 2018 | ||||||||||||
| 2017 | ||||||||||||
| 2016 |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in November (+4.4 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−5.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is BGC Group Inc. ’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating BGC Group Inc. ’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 40% of the time versus 60% across the last 10 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
There's a real but measured seasonal tilt here, toward November — the firmest corner of the calendar, higher in 6 of 10 Novembers.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+6.7%) and median (+8.0%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even November ranges by 16.1% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — November has outpaced the S&P 500 by +4.4 points on average. Some of that is a strong month market-wide, mind — November rises for about 62% of stocks — so the tendency is real if not unique.
It doesn't stand entirely alone — April, June, and August have leaned firm as well, if less emphatically. The weaker half of the year is plainer: October is the year's low point, though even there the stock has stayed positive on average (+2.4%), a sign every month leans up, and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, December, and May. Its roughest month on record was a −47.9% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The pattern has softened of late, November's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
Treat it as a tendency rather than a rule — seasonality describes the past, not a promise.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2016 its best month (November, +6.7%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, +2.4%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +6.7% and closing higher in 6 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest month, but it has still averaged a small gain (+2.4%) — quiet rather than genuinely bad.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade