The takeaway
Boston Omaha Corp shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 9 years of data — strongest in August (+5.9%) and softest in June (−8.6%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 44% of years, averaging +0.6%, roughly 1.6 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Boston Omaha Corp's most dependable month has been August, higher in 7 of 9 years; June has been its least reliable, up just 11% of the time.
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| 2017 | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in February (+7.5 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−10.1 pts).
“vs S&P” is Boston Omaha Corp’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Boston Omaha Corp’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, August has closed higher 80% of the time versus 78% across the last 9 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) August return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 9(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 9-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — August. It has closed higher in 7 of 9 Augusts, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
Read it with one caveat: the average (+5.9%) runs well ahead of the median (+3.4%), so a handful of outsized years — not steady strength — do much of the lifting. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even August ranges by 9.9% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — August has outpaced the S&P 500 by +5.6 points on average. Few peers keep such company in August — the typical stock clears it just 52% of the time.
No other month comes close to matching it — the rest of the calendar is unremarkable by comparison. On the other side of the ledger, June has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−8.6%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, June, and April. Its roughest month on record was a −40.1% June in 2017 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
For a stock this dependable in August, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 9-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (August), its worst (June), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2017 its best month (August, +5.9%) has run well ahead of its worst (June, −8.6%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
August has been the strongest, averaging +5.9% and closing higher in 7 of 9 years since 2017.
It's the weakest, averaging −8.6% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade