The takeaway
YieldMax™ Short COIN Option Income Strategy ETF shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 2 years of data — strongest in February (+17.3%) and softest in June (−31.7%).
Right now
In July, the fund has fallen 50% of years, averaging −4.7%, roughly 6.8 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
YieldMax™ Short COIN Option Income Strategy ETF's most dependable month has been February, higher in 1 of 1 years; June has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in February (+17.5 pts); it has trailed the market most in June (−32.0 pts).
“vs S&P” is YieldMax™ Short COIN Option Income Strategy ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating YieldMax™ Short COIN Option Income Strategy ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Not enough recent February history to say whether the pattern still holds.
Figures are the typical (median) February return and how often it rose — the last 1 years versus the last 2(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 2-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — February. It has closed higher in all 1 Februaries, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+17.3%) and median (+17.3%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. No month is steadier: February's returns vary by just 0.0% year to year, and even its worst February in 2 years lost only 17.3% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Better still, that strength is the fund's own and not just a buoyant market — February has outpaced the S&P 500 by +17.5 points on average. It is the more striking for the company it keeps — February is a losing month for most of the market, where barely 49% of names gain ground.
It doesn't stand entirely alone — March, August, and December have leaned firm as well, if less emphatically. On the other side of the ledger, June has been the soft spot — the weakest of 8 months that average a loss (−31.7%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in June, May, and November. Its roughest month on record was a −43.1% November in 2024 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
For a fund this dependable in February, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 2-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (February), its worst (June), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2024 its best month (February, +17.3%) has run well ahead of its worst (June, −31.7%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
February has been the strongest, averaging +17.3% and closing higher in its one year on record since 2024.
It's the weakest, averaging −31.7% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade