The takeaway
Goldman Sachs Access U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF shows a slight seasonal lean over 6 years of data — strongest in November (+1.7%) and softest in October (−1.1%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 60% of years, averaging +1.0%, roughly 1.1 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Goldman Sachs Access U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF's most dependable month has been November, higher in 6 of 6 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 17% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2020 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
Across the year the fund has stayed close to the S&P 500 — no single month stands out as a real edge.
“vs S&P” is Goldman Sachs Access U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Goldman Sachs Access U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 6 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 6(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 6-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: November, up in all 6 Novembers while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+1.7%) and median (+1.3%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages November only about 62% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: January, April, and May have also closed higher more often than not. At the other end of the calendar, October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−1.1%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in April, October, and March.
November has now closed higher 6 years running. Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: November aside, the fund's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 6-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (November), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Only mildly. The fund's months are fairly even — November is the firmest (+1.7%) and October the softest (−1.1%), a narrow spread that points to weak seasonality rather than a strong calendar effect.
November has been the strongest, averaging +1.7% and closing higher in all 6 years on record since 2020.
It's the weakest, averaging −1.1% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade