The takeaway
Ivanhoe Electric Inc. shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 4 years of data — strongest in May (+11.4%) and softest in August (−6.2%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 100% of years, averaging +8.5%, about +6.4 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Ivanhoe Electric Inc.'s most dependable month has been May, higher in 3 of 3 years; August has been its least reliable, up just 25% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in October (+10.7 pts); it has trailed the market most in January (−9.9 pts).
“vs S&P” is Ivanhoe Electric Inc.’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Ivanhoe Electric Inc.’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 3 years, May has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 4 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) May return and how often it rose — the last 3 years versus the last 4(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 4-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
This is a stock you can almost set a calendar by, and May is the anchor — it has closed higher in all 3 Mays, the steadiest beat on its year.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+11.4%) and median (+12.2%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. Few months are steadier: May's returns vary by just 6.8% year to year, and even its worst May in 4 years lost only 2.6% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — May has outpaced the S&P 500 by +10.7 points on average. Few peers keep such company in May — the typical stock clears it just 55% of the time.
May anchors a run, too: the February-through-May window has been the stock's reliable season. The weaker half of the year is plainer: August has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−6.2%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in January, August, and June. Its roughest month on record was a −26.1% September in 2023 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
For a stock this dependable in May, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 4-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (May), its worst (August), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2022 its best month (May, +11.4%) has run well ahead of its worst (August, −6.2%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
May has been the strongest, averaging +11.4% and closing higher in all 3 years on record since 2022.
It's the weakest, averaging −6.2% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade